Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 37.37%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 37.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 1-0 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.