Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oulu win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oulu win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Ilves win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.