Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lahti win with a probability of 56.19%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for HIFK Fotboll had a probability of 20.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lahti win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a HIFK Fotboll win it was 0-1 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lahti would win this match.