Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oulu win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Haka had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oulu win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Haka win was 1-0 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.