Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.01%) and 0-2 (5.65%). The likeliest Oulu win was 2-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vaasan Palloseura would win this match.