Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Haka had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Haka win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vaasan Palloseura would win this match.