Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 53.09%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Haka had a probability of 22.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Haka win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.