Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 28.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Lahti win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Honka would win this match.