Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 52.72%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Honka had a probability of 22.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Honka win it was 0-1 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.