Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Oct 13, 2022 at 8pm UK

Ludogorets Arena

Ludogorets
2 - 0
HJK Helsinki

Gruper (38'), Rick (64')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Ludogorets Razgrad and HJK Helsinki, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ludogorets Razgrad

Last Game: HJK Helsinki 1-1 Ludogorets
Thursday, October 6 at 5.45pm in Europa League

HJK Helsinki

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Haka 0-1 HJK Helsinki
Sunday, October 9 at 4pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 37.89% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.2%) and 2-0 (5.51%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 1-2 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ludogorets Razgrad would win this match.

Result
Ludogorets Razgrad	Draw	HJK Helsinki
38.07% ( -0.08)	24.05% ( 0.02)	37.89% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 61.31% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.92% (

-0.08)

41.08% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.53% (

-0.08)

63.47% (

0.09)

Ludogorets Razgrad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.35% (

-0.07)

21.65% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.22% (

-0.12)

54.78% (

0.13)

HJK Helsinki Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.26% (

0.01)

21.75% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.08% (

54.92% (

Score Analysis

Ludogorets Razgrad 38.07%

HJK Helsinki 37.89%

Draw 24.04%

Ludogorets Razgrad	Draw	HJK Helsinki
2-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 38.07%	1-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 24.04%	1-2 @ 8.39% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.27% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.26% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.63% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.25% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 37.89%