Champions League

Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Aug 9, 2022 at 7pm UK

Stadion Maksimir

Dinamo Zagreb
4 - 2
Ludogorets

(Dinamo Zagreb win 6-3 on aggregate)

Drmic (12'), Orsic (27' pen., 44'), Petkovic (87' pen.)
Ristovski (21'), Misic (21'), Peric (66'), Moharrami (70')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Despodov (45+4', 49' pen.)
Yankov (10'), Rick (45+2'), Simundza (67')
Yankov (17'), Rick (72'), Karnicnik (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Dinamo Zagreb and Ludogorets Razgrad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dinamo Zagreb

Last Game: Ludogorets 1-2 Dinamo Zagreb
Tuesday, August 2 at 6.45pm in Champions League

Ludogorets Razgrad

Last Game: Ludogorets 1-2 Dinamo Zagreb
Tuesday, August 2 at 6.45pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 52.96%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 21.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Ludogorets Razgrad win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dinamo Zagreb would win this match.

Result
Dinamo Zagreb	Draw	Ludogorets Razgrad
52.96% ( -0.15)	25.69% ( -0.01)	21.35% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 45.8% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.43% (

0.19)

56.57% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.45% (

0.16)

77.55% (

-0.16)

Dinamo Zagreb Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.57% (

0.02)

21.42% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.57% (

0.03)

54.43% (

-0.03)

Ludogorets Razgrad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.29% (

0.28)

41.71% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.82% (

0.24)

78.18% (

-0.25)

Score Analysis

Dinamo Zagreb 52.95%

Ludogorets Razgrad 21.35%

Draw 25.68%

Dinamo Zagreb	Draw	Ludogorets Razgrad
1-0 @ 13.76% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 10.6% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0) Other @ 3.09% Total : 52.95%	1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.66% Total : 25.68%	0-1 @ 7.81% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.15% Total : 21.35%