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Champions League

Ludogorets
Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 5, 2022 at 6.45pm UK
Huvepharma Arena (Razgrad)

Ludogorets
2 - 0
Sutjeska Niksic

Santana (74'), Tissera (90+1')
Cicinho (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Matanovic (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Ludogorets Razgrad and Sutjeska Niksic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ludogorets Razgrad

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Last Game: Ludogorets 0-0 Midtjylland
Thursday, December 9 at 8pm in Europa League
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Sutjeska Niksic

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Last Game: Maccabi Tel Aviv 3-1 Sutjeska Niksic
Thursday, July 29 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for Sutjeska Niksic had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Sutjeska Niksic win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ludogorets Razgrad would win this match.

Result
Ludogorets RazgradDrawSutjeska Niksic
38.44% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)26.28% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)35.27% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.18% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.53% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)51.47% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.72% (-0.029 -0.03)73.27% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Ludogorets Razgrad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.85% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)26.15% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.77% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)61.22% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Sutjeska Niksic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)27.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.38% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)63.62% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Score Analysis
    Ludogorets Razgrad 38.44%
    Sutjeska Niksic 35.27%
    Draw 26.28%
Ludogorets RazgradDrawSutjeska Niksic
1-0 @ 9.82% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 8.38% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 6.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.94% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 0.99% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 38.44%
1-1 @ 12.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.28%
0-1 @ 9.32% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.96% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 5.93% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.38%
0-3 @ 2.52% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 35.27%

How you voted: Ludogorets vs Sutjeska Niksic

Ludogorets Razgrad
76.7%
Draw
18.6%
Sutjeska Niksic
4.7%
43