Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.58%) and 0-2 (5.91%). The likeliest Shamrock Rovers win was 2-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.