Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 83.96%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 4.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.36%) and 1-0 (12.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.34%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (2.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.