Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 63.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 14.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.75%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.