Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 56.17%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Dinamo Zagreb had a probability of 20.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Dinamo Zagreb win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.