Europa League

Europa League | Qualifying Playoffs | 1st Leg

Feb 17, 2022 at 8pm UK

Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Sevilla
3 - 1
Dinamo Zagreb

(Sevilla win 3-2 on aggregate)

Rakitic (13' pen.), Ocampos (44'), Martial (45+1')
Acuna (53')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Orsic (41')
Livakovic (12'), Petkovic (53'), Ristovski (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Sevilla and Dinamo Zagreb, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 56.17%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Dinamo Zagreb had a probability of 20.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Dinamo Zagreb win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.

Result
Sevilla	Draw	Dinamo Zagreb
56.17%	22.96%	20.87%

Both teams to score 53.2%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.57%

46.42%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.29%

68.7%

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.66%

16.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.06%

45.94%

Dinamo Zagreb Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.59%

36.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.8%

73.19%

Score Analysis

Sevilla 56.16%

Dinamo Zagreb 20.87%

Draw 22.95%

Sevilla	Draw	Dinamo Zagreb
1-0 @ 10.77% 2-1 @ 9.86% 2-0 @ 9.76% 3-1 @ 5.96% 3-0 @ 5.9% 3-2 @ 3.01% 4-1 @ 2.7% 4-0 @ 2.67% 4-2 @ 1.36% 5-1 @ 0.98% 5-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.23% Total : 56.16%	1-1 @ 10.88% 0-0 @ 5.95% 2-2 @ 4.98% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.95%	0-1 @ 6.01% 1-2 @ 5.5% 0-2 @ 3.04% 1-3 @ 1.85% 2-3 @ 1.68% 0-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.77% Total : 20.87%