Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 44.58%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 44.58% | 27.22% | 28.2% |
| Both teams to score 47.78% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.8% | 57.2% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.94% | 78.05% |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.46% | 25.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.61% | 60.39% |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.16% | 35.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.38% | 72.61% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sevilla | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 1-0 @ 12.49% 2-1 @ 8.75% 2-0 @ 8.53% 3-1 @ 3.98% 3-0 @ 3.88% 3-2 @ 2.04% 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.22% Total : 44.58% | 1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 9.15% 2-2 @ 4.49% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.21% | 0-1 @ 9.39% 1-2 @ 6.58% 0-2 @ 4.82% 1-3 @ 2.25% 0-3 @ 1.65% 2-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 1.98% Total : 28.2% |