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Champions League

Ludogorets
Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 2, 2022 at 6.45pm UK
Huvepharma Arena (Razgrad)
Dinamo Zagreb

Ludogorets
1 - 2
Dinamo Zagreb

Tekpetey (22')
Tekpetey (60'), Verdon (65'), Despodov (74')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Peric (6'), Padt (9' og.)
Misic (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Ludogorets Razgrad and Dinamo Zagreb, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ludogorets Razgrad

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Last Game: Shamrock 2-1 Ludogorets
Tuesday, July 26 at 8pm in Champions League
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Dinamo Zagreb

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Last Game: Shkupi 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb
Tuesday, July 26 at 8pm in Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 48.62%. A win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 27.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Ludogorets Razgrad win was 1-0 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Zagreb would win this match.

Result
Ludogorets RazgradDrawDinamo Zagreb
27.05% (0.00099999999999767 0)24.33% (-0.004999999999999 -0)48.62% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Both teams to score 55.85% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.71% (0.018000000000001 0.02)46.29% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.42% (0.016999999999999 0.02)68.58% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
Ludogorets Razgrad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.05% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)30.95% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.75% (0.014000000000003 0.01)67.25% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Dinamo Zagreb Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.88% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)19.11% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.25% (0.012 0.01)50.74% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Ludogorets Razgrad 27.05%
    Dinamo Zagreb 48.62%
    Draw 24.33%
Ludogorets RazgradDrawDinamo Zagreb
1-0 @ 6.94% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-1 @ 6.73% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 4.07% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 2.63% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 27.05%
1-1 @ 11.48%
0-0 @ 5.92% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.57% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.33%
0-1 @ 9.79% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.5%
0-2 @ 8.1% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 5.24% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 4.47%
2-3 @ 3.07% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 2.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.85%
2-4 @ 1.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 48.62%

How you voted: Ludogorets vs Dinamo Zagreb

Ludogorets Razgrad
38.6%
Draw
24.8%
Dinamo Zagreb
36.6%
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