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Europa League

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Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 15, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
HJK logo

Roma
3 - 0
HJK Helsinki

Dybala (47'), Pellegrini (49'), Belotti (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Roma and HJK Helsinki, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

Last Six:
Last Game: Empoli 1-2 Roma
Monday, September 12 at 7.45pm in Serie A

HJK Helsinki

Last Six:
Last Game: Honka 1-2 HJK Helsinki
Sunday, September 11 at 2pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 65.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 10.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.06%) and 3-0 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.19%), while for a HJK Helsinki win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawHJK Helsinki
65.66% (-0.27800000000001 -0.28)23.74% (0.103 0.1)10.59% (0.18 0.18)
Both teams to score 30.64% (0.256 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.14% (0.031999999999996 0.03)64.85% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.21% (0.023 0.02)83.79% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.27% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)19.73% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.25% (-0.151 -0.15)51.75% (0.154 0.15)
HJK Helsinki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
38.17% (0.365 0.37)61.83% (-0.361 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.44% (0.1751 0.18)91.56% (-0.17099999999999 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Roma 65.65%
    HJK Helsinki 10.59%
    Draw 23.74%
RomaDrawHJK Helsinki
1-0 @ 19.79% (-0.080000000000002 -0.08)
2-0 @ 16.06% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-0 @ 8.69% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-1 @ 7.73% (0.041 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.53% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.15% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.01% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 65.65%
0-0 @ 12.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-1 @ 9.52% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
2-2 @ 1.86% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.74%
0-1 @ 5.87% (0.065 0.07)
1-2 @ 2.29% (0.047 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.41% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 10.59%

How you voted: Roma vs HJK Helsinki

Roma
85.1%
Draw
8.1%
HJK Helsinki
6.8%
74