Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 6

Sep 12, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Carlo Castellani

Empoli
1 - 2
Roma

Bandinelli (43')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Dybala (17'), Abraham (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

Last Six:

Last Game: Ludogorets 2-1 Roma
Thursday, September 8 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Juventus	6	5	10
8	Roma	5	1	10
9	Torino	6	0	10

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 46.24%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Roma in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Roma.

Result
Empoli	Draw	Roma
29.13% ( 3.01)	24.62% ( 0.68)	46.24% ( -3.69)

Both teams to score 56.42% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.75% (

-0.94)

46.24% (

0.94)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.46% (

-0.9)

68.53% (

0.9)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.6% (

1.75)

29.4% (

-1.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.61% (

2.09)

65.39% (

-2.09)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.92% (

-1.87)

20.08% (

1.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.68% (

-3.1)

52.32% (

3.1)

Score Analysis

Empoli 29.13%

Roma 46.24%

Draw 24.62%

Empoli	Draw	Roma
1-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.61) 2-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.53) 2-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.57) 3-1 @ 2.9% ( 0.34) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.31) Other @ 3.35% Total : 29.13%	1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.34) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.62%	0-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 9.31% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 7.61% ( -0.62) 1-3 @ 4.98% ( -0.47) 0-3 @ 4.07% ( -0.6) 2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 2% ( -0.32) 0-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.36) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.88% Total : 46.24%