Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 46.24%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Roma in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Roma.