Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 45.77%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%).

Result
Empoli	Draw	SPAL
45.77% ( 0.13)	24.76% ( 0.08)	29.46% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 56.16% (

-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.32% (

-0.46)

46.68% (

0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.06% (

-0.43)

68.94% (

0.43)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.54% (

-0.13)

20.46% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.07% (

-0.21)

52.92% (

0.21)

SPAL Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.61% (

-0.38)

29.39% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.62% (

-0.46)

65.37% (

0.46)

Score Analysis

Empoli 45.77%

SPAL 29.46%

Draw 24.75%

Empoli	Draw	SPAL
1-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.76% Total : 45.77%	1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.75%	0-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.36% Total : 29.46%