Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 37

May 14, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stadio Carlo Castellani

Empoli
1 - 1
Salernitana

Cutrone (31')
Henderson (74'), Vicario (76'), Bajrami (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bonazzoli (76')
Radovanovic (75'), Ederson (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Empoli

Last Six:

Last Game: Atalanta 0-1 Empoli
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Bologna	38	-11	46
14	Empoli	38	-20	41
15	Sampdoria	38	-17	36

Salernitana

Last Six:

Last Game: Salernitana 0-4 Udinese
Sunday, May 22 at 8pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Spezia	38	-30	36
17	Salernitana	38	-45	31
18	Cagliari	38	-34	30

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 50.35%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 26.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Empoli	Draw	Salernitana
50.35% ( 0.49)	23.37% ( -0.11)	26.28% ( -0.38)

Both teams to score 58.4% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.38% (

0.19)

42.62% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.98% (

0.19)

65.02% (

-0.19)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.96% (

0.25)

17.04% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.81% (

0.45)

47.19% (

-0.45)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.39% (

-0.19)

29.61% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.36% (

-0.23)

65.65% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Empoli 50.35%

Salernitana 26.29%

Draw 23.36%

Empoli	Draw	Salernitana
2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.93% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.67% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.02% Total : 50.35%	1-1 @ 10.86% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.36%	1-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 6.14% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.22% Total : 26.29%