Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 56.69%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 22.31% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.83%) and 0-1 (7.53%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 2-1 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.