| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Spezia | 38 | -30 | 36 |
| 17 | Salernitana | 38 | -45 | 31 |
| 18 | Cagliari | 38 | -34 | 30 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Roma | 38 | 16 | 63 |
| 7 | Fiorentina | 38 | 8 | 62 |
| 8 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 17 | 59 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 56.69%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 22.31% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.83%) and 0-1 (7.53%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 2-1 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Salernitana | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 22.31% | 20.99% | 56.69% |
| Both teams to score 62.16% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.43% | 35.57% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.37% | 57.63% |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.05% | 28.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.16% | 64.84% |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.49% | 12.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.49% | 38.51% |
| Score Analysis |
| Salernitana | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 2-1 @ 5.78% 1-0 @ 4.49% 2-0 @ 2.78% 3-2 @ 2.48% 3-1 @ 2.39% 3-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.24% Total : 22.31% | 1-1 @ 9.33% 2-2 @ 6.01% 0-0 @ 3.62% 3-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 0.31% Total : 20.99% | 1-2 @ 9.7% 0-2 @ 7.83% 0-1 @ 7.53% 1-3 @ 6.72% 0-3 @ 5.42% 2-3 @ 4.17% 1-4 @ 3.49% 0-4 @ 2.82% 2-4 @ 2.17% 1-5 @ 1.45% 0-5 @ 1.17% Other @ 4.23% Total : 56.69% |