| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Spezia | 38 | -30 | 36 |
| 17 | Salernitana | 38 | -45 | 31 |
| 18 | Cagliari | 38 | -34 | 30 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Hellas Verona | 38 | 6 | 53 |
| 10 | Torino | 38 | 5 | 50 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 38 | -2 | 50 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 49.87%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 25.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (8.86%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Torino in this match.
| Result | ||
| Salernitana | Draw | Torino |
| 25.3% | 24.82% | 49.87% |
| Both teams to score 52.67% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.26% | 49.74% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.25% | 71.75% |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.8% | 34.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.11% | 70.88% |
| Torino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.04% | 19.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.87% | 52.12% |
| Score Analysis |
| Salernitana | Draw | Torino |
| 1-0 @ 7.32% 2-1 @ 6.33% 2-0 @ 3.93% 3-1 @ 2.27% 3-2 @ 1.83% 3-0 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.22% Total : 25.3% | 1-1 @ 11.8% 0-0 @ 6.82% 2-2 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.82% | 0-1 @ 10.99% 1-2 @ 9.51% 0-2 @ 8.86% 1-3 @ 5.11% 0-3 @ 4.76% 2-3 @ 2.74% 1-4 @ 2.06% 0-4 @ 1.92% 2-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.81% Total : 49.86% |