| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | AC Milan | 37 | 35 | 83 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 37 | 49 | 81 |
| 3 | Napoli | 37 | 40 | 76 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Spezia | 37 | -27 | 36 |
| 17 | Salernitana | 37 | -41 | 31 |
| 18 | Cagliari | 37 | -34 | 29 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 80.28%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 6.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.62%) and 1-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.27%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (2.36%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | Salernitana |
| 80.28% | 13.18% | 6.55% |
| Both teams to score 43.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.98% | 36.03% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.87% | 58.13% |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.01% | 6.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.4% | 25.6% |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.07% | 52.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.39% | 86.61% |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Milan | Draw | Salernitana |
| 2-0 @ 13.1% 3-0 @ 11.62% 1-0 @ 9.85% 2-1 @ 8.34% 4-0 @ 7.73% 3-1 @ 7.39% 4-1 @ 4.92% 5-0 @ 4.11% 5-1 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 2.35% 6-0 @ 1.82% 4-2 @ 1.56% 6-1 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.7% Total : 80.28% | 1-1 @ 6.27% 0-0 @ 3.7% 2-2 @ 2.65% Other @ 0.56% Total : 13.18% | 0-1 @ 2.36% 1-2 @ 1.99% Other @ 2.2% Total : 6.55% |