Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 23

Jan 23, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli
4 - 1
Salernitana

Jesus (17'), Mertens (45+4' pen.), Rrahmani (47'), Insigne (53' pen.)

FT(HT: 2-1)

Bonazzoli (33')
Delli Carri (23'), Obi (30'), Veseli (45+3')
Veseli (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 73.63%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 10.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.34%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.49%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-2 (3.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Salernitana
73.63%	15.98%	10.39%

Both teams to score 51.5%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.25%

35.75%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.17%

57.83%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.66%

8.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.95%

29.05%

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.19%

43.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.03%

79.97%

Score Analysis

Napoli 73.63%

Salernitana 10.39%

Draw 15.98%

Napoli	Draw	Salernitana
2-0 @ 11.27% 3-0 @ 9.34% 2-1 @ 9.31% 1-0 @ 9.08% 3-1 @ 7.71% 4-0 @ 5.8% 4-1 @ 4.79% 3-2 @ 3.18% 5-0 @ 2.88% 5-1 @ 2.38% 4-2 @ 1.98% 6-0 @ 1.19% 6-1 @ 0.99% 5-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.77% Total : 73.63%	1-1 @ 7.49% 2-2 @ 3.84% 0-0 @ 3.65% Other @ 1% Total : 15.98%	1-2 @ 3.09% 0-1 @ 3.01% 0-2 @ 1.24% 2-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.98% Total : 10.39%