Serie A
Gameweek
23
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fnaplog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F28%2Fsallog.png)
-
Juan Jesus
17'
-
Amir Rrahmani
47'
-
Dries Mertens
45'+4'
-
Lorenzo Insigne
53'
-
Filippo Delli Carri
23'
-
Joel Obi
30'
-
Federico Bonazzoli
33'
-
Frederic Veseli
45'+3'
-
Frederic Veseli
51'
Napoli vs Salernitana - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F03%2Fnapbol.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 73.63%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 10.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.34%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.49%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-2 (3.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result
Napoli
73.63%
Draw
15.98%
Salernitana
10.39%
Both Teams to Score:
51.5%
Goals
Over 2.5
64.25%
Under 2.5
35.75%
Over 3.5
42.17%
Under 3.5
57.83%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5
91.66%
Under 0.5
8.34%
Over 1.5
70.95%
Under 1.5
29.05%
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5
56.19%
Under 0.5
43.81%
Over 1.5
20.03%
Under 1.5
79.97%
Score analysis
Napoli
73.63%
Draw
15.98%
Salernitana
10.39%
Napoli
2-0
@
11.27%
3-0 @ 9.34%
2-1 @ 9.31%
1-0 @ 9.08%
3-1 @ 7.71%
4-0 @ 5.8%
4-1 @ 4.79%
3-2 @ 3.18%
5-0 @ 2.88%
5-1 @ 2.38%
4-2 @ 1.98%
6-0 @ 1.19%
Other @ 4.73%
Total : 73.63%
3-0 @ 9.34%
2-1 @ 9.31%
1-0 @ 9.08%
3-1 @ 7.71%
4-0 @ 5.8%
4-1 @ 4.79%
3-2 @ 3.18%
5-0 @ 2.88%
5-1 @ 2.38%
4-2 @ 1.98%
6-0 @ 1.19%
Other @ 4.73%
Total : 73.63%
Draw
1-1
@
7.49%
2-2 @ 3.84%
0-0 @ 3.65%
Other @ 1%
Total : 15.98%
2-2 @ 3.84%
0-0 @ 3.65%
Other @ 1%
Total : 15.98%
Salernitana
1-2
@
3.09%
0-1 @ 3.01%
0-2 @ 1.24%
2-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 10.39%
0-1 @ 3.01%
0-2 @ 1.24%
2-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 10.39%
Head to Head
Serie A
Gameweek
11
-
Grigoris Kastanos
70'
-
Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa
41'
-
Piotr Zielinski
61'
-
Mario Rui
74'
-
Kalidou Koulibaly
77'