Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 73.63%. A draw has a probability of 16% and a win for Salernitana has a probability of 10.39%.
The most likely scoreline was Napoli 2-0 Salernitana with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines were 3-0 (9.34%), 2-1 (9.31%), 1-0 (9.08%). The actual score line of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.8%.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Salernitana |
73.63% | 15.98% | 10.39% |
Both teams to score 51.5% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.25% | 35.75% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.17% | 57.83% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.66% | 8.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.95% | 29.05% |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.19% | 43.81% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.03% | 79.97% |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Salernitana |
2-0 @ 11.27% 3-0 @ 9.34% 2-1 @ 9.31% 1-0 @ 9.08% 3-1 @ 7.71% 4-0 @ 5.8% 4-1 @ 4.79% 3-2 @ 3.18% 5-0 @ 2.88% 5-1 @ 2.38% 4-2 @ 1.98% 6-0 @ 1.19% 6-1 @ 0.99% 5-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.77% Total : 73.63% | 1-1 @ 7.49% 2-2 @ 3.84% 0-0 @ 3.65% Other @ 1% Total : 15.98% | 1-2 @ 3.09% 0-1 @ 3.01% 0-2 @ 1.24% 2-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.98% Total : 10.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | AC Milan | 38 | 26 | 8 | 4 | 69 | 31 | 38 | 86 |
2 | Inter Milan | 38 | 25 | 9 | 4 | 84 | 32 | 52 | 84 |
3 | Napoli | 38 | 24 | 7 | 7 | 74 | 31 | 43 | 79 |
4 | Juventus | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 57 | 37 | 20 | 70 |
5 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 77 | 58 | 19 | 64 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 59 | 43 | 16 | 63 |
7 | Fiorentina | 38 | 19 | 5 | 14 | 59 | 51 | 8 | 62 |
8 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 59 |
9 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 59 | 6 | 53 |
10 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 50 |
11 | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 64 | 66 | -2 | 50 |
12 | Udinese | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 61 | 58 | 3 | 47 |
13 | Bologna | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 46 |
14 | Empoli | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 70 | -20 | 41 |
15 | Sampdoria | 38 | 10 | 6 | 22 | 46 | 63 | -17 | 36 |
16 | SpeziaSpezia | 38 | 10 | 6 | 22 | 41 | 71 | -30 | 36 |
17 | Salernitana | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 33 | 78 | -45 | 31 |
R | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 34 | 68 | -34 | 30 |
R | Genoa | 38 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 27 | 60 | -33 | 28 |
R | VeneziaVenezia | 38 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 27 |
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