| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Udinese | 38 | 3 | 47 |
| 13 | Bologna | 38 | -11 | 46 |
| 14 | Empoli | 38 | -20 | 41 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | AC Milan | 38 | 38 | 86 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 38 | 52 | 84 |
| 3 | Napoli | 38 | 43 | 79 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 60.84%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 18.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.88%) and 0-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Bologna win it was 2-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 18.17% | 21% | 60.84% |
| Both teams to score 55.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.33% | 41.67% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.92% | 64.08% |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.49% | 36.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.71% | 73.3% |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.75% | 13.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.97% | 40.03% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bologna | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 2-1 @ 4.96% 1-0 @ 4.87% 2-0 @ 2.46% 3-2 @ 1.69% 3-1 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.52% Total : 18.17% | 1-1 @ 9.85% 2-2 @ 5.02% 0-0 @ 4.84% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.16% Total : 21% | 1-2 @ 9.96% 0-2 @ 9.88% 0-1 @ 9.78% 1-3 @ 6.71% 0-3 @ 6.66% 1-4 @ 3.39% 2-3 @ 3.38% 0-4 @ 3.36% 2-4 @ 1.71% 1-5 @ 1.37% 0-5 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.28% Total : 60.84% |