| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Udinese | 38 | 3 | 47 |
| 13 | Bologna | 38 | -11 | 46 |
| 14 | Empoli | 38 | -20 | 41 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Torino | 38 | 5 | 50 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 38 | -2 | 50 |
| 12 | Udinese | 38 | 3 | 47 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 45.51%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.07%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 45.51% ( | 22.24% ( | 32.25% ( |
| Both teams to score 66.82% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.65% ( | 33.36% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.87% ( | 55.13% ( |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.69% ( | 15.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.96% ( | 44.04% ( |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.89% ( | 21.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.06% ( | 53.94% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bologna | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 1-0 @ 6.07% ( 2-0 @ 5.69% ( 3-1 @ 5.54% ( 3-2 @ 4.31% ( 3-0 @ 3.56% ( 4-1 @ 2.6% ( 4-2 @ 2.02% ( 4-0 @ 1.67% ( 4-3 @ 1.05% ( 5-1 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 3.18% Total : 45.51% | 1-1 @ 9.43% ( 2-2 @ 6.89% ( 0-0 @ 3.23% ( 3-3 @ 2.23% ( Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.24% | 1-2 @ 7.34% ( 0-1 @ 5.03% ( 0-2 @ 3.91% ( 1-3 @ 3.8% ( 2-3 @ 3.57% ( 0-3 @ 2.03% ( 1-4 @ 1.48% ( 2-4 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 3.71% Total : 32.25% |