| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Udinese | 38 | 3 | 47 |
| 13 | Bologna | 38 | -11 | 46 |
| 14 | Empoli | 38 | -20 | 41 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Empoli | 38 | -20 | 41 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 38 | -17 | 36 |
| 16 | Spezia | 38 | -30 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 50.88%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 25.18% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 0-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Sampdoria |
| 50.88% | 23.95% | 25.18% |
| Both teams to score 55.35% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.85% | 46.15% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.56% | 68.45% |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.83% | 18.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.85% | 49.16% |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.64% | 32.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.13% | 68.88% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bologna | Draw | Sampdoria |
| 1-0 @ 10.02% 2-1 @ 9.65% 2-0 @ 8.55% 3-1 @ 5.49% 3-0 @ 4.86% 3-2 @ 3.09% 4-1 @ 2.34% 4-0 @ 2.07% 4-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.48% Total : 50.87% | 1-1 @ 11.31% 0-0 @ 5.88% 2-2 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.95% | 0-1 @ 6.63% 1-2 @ 6.38% 0-2 @ 3.74% 1-3 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.57% Total : 25.18% |