Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | AC Milan | 38 | 38 | 86 |
2 | Inter Milan | 38 | 52 | 84 |
3 | Napoli | 38 | 43 | 79 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
14 | Empoli | 38 | -20 | 41 |
15 | Sampdoria | 38 | -17 | 36 |
16 | Spezia | 38 | -30 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 82.2%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 5.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.87%) and 1-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.71%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (2.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Sampdoria |
82.2% ( 0.39) | 12.02% ( -0.07) | 5.79% ( -0.32) |
Both teams to score 43.78% ( -1.96) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.53% ( -1.27) | 33.47% ( 1.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.74% ( -1.47) | 55.26% ( 1.47) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.91% ( -0.18) | 6.09% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.87% ( -0.5) | 23.13% ( 0.5) |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
46.62% ( -1.99) | 53.38% ( 2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.11% ( -1.29) | 86.89% ( 1.29) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Sampdoria |
2-0 @ 12.72% ( 0.58) 3-0 @ 11.87% ( 0.42) 1-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.51) 4-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.18) 5-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.2) 6-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.16) 6-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.08) 5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.53% Total : 82.18% | 1-1 @ 5.71% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.19) Other @ 0.55% Total : 12.02% | 0-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.95% Total : 5.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 69 |
3 | Juventus | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 64 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
7 | Lazio | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 52 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 43 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 35 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 33 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |