Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 38

May 22, 2022 at 5pm UK

San Siro

Inter Milan
3 - 0
Sampdoria

Perisic (49'), Correa (55', 57')
Barella (30')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Yoshida (5'), Ferrari (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

Last Six:

Last Game: Inter Milan 3-0 Sampdoria
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	AC Milan	38	38	86
2	Inter Milan	38	52	84
3	Napoli	38	43	79

Sampdoria

Last Six:

Last Game: Inter Milan 3-0 Sampdoria
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Empoli	38	-20	41
15	Sampdoria	38	-17	36
16	Spezia	38	-30	36

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 82.2%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 5.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.87%) and 1-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.71%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (2.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter Milan	Draw	Sampdoria
82.2% ( 0.39)	12.02% ( -0.07)	5.79% ( -0.32)

Both teams to score 43.78% (

-1.96)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.53% (

-1.27)

33.47% (

1.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.74% (

-1.47)

55.26% (

1.47)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.91% (

-0.18)

6.09% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.87% (

-0.5)

23.13% (

0.5)

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.62% (

-1.99)

53.38% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.11% (

-1.29)

86.89% (

1.29)

Score Analysis

Inter Milan 82.18%

Sampdoria 5.79%

Draw 12.02%

Inter Milan	Draw	Sampdoria
2-0 @ 12.72% ( 0.58) 3-0 @ 11.87% ( 0.42) 1-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.51) 4-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.18) 5-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.2) 6-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.16) 6-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.08) 5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.53% Total : 82.18%	1-1 @ 5.71% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.19) Other @ 0.55% Total : 12.02%	0-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.95% Total : 5.79%