Serie A Gameweek 38
May 22, 2022 5.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Nicolo Barella 30' yellowcard
  • Ivan Perisic 49' goal
  • Joaquin Correa 55' goal
  • Joaquin Correa 57' goal
  • yellowcard Maya Yoshida 5'
  • yellowcard Alex Ferrari 66'

Inter Milan vs Sampdoria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions
Last game
May 15, 2022 7.45pm
Cagliari 1 - 3 Inter Milan
Goals scored
84
Top scorer
Lautaro Martinez

Sampdoria

All competitions
Last game
May 16, 2022 5.30pm
Sampdoria 4 - 1 Fiorentina
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Francesco Caputo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 82.2%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 5.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.87%) and 1-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.71%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (2.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result

Inter Milan 82.2% (+0.40)
Draw 12.02% (-0.07)
Sampdoria 5.79% (-0.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.78% (-1.97)

Goals

Over 2.5 66.53% (-1.28)
Under 2.5 33.47% (+1.28)
Over 3.5 44.74% (-1.47)
Under 3.5 55.26% (+1.48)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5 93.91% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 6.09% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 76.87% (-0.51)
Under 1.5 23.13% (+0.51)

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5 46.62% (-2.00)
Under 0.5 53.38% (+2.00)
Over 1.5 13.11% (-1.29)
Under 1.5 86.89% (+1.29)

Score analysis

Inter Milan 82.18%
Draw 12.02%
Sampdoria 5.79%
Inter Milan
2-0 @ 12.72% (+0.59)
3-0 @ 11.87% (+0.42)
1-0 @ 9.1% (+0.51)
4-0 @ 8.31% (+0.22)
2-1 @ 7.99% (-0.10)
3-1 @ 7.45% (-0.18)
4-1 @ 5.22% (-0.18)
5-0 @ 4.65% (+0.07)
5-1 @ 2.92% (-0.14)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.20)
6-0 @ 2.17% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.64% (-0.16)
6-1 @ 1.36% (-0.08)
Other @ 4.45%
Total : 82.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.71% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.25% (+0.22)
2-2 @ 2.51% (-0.19)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 12.02%
Sampdoria
0-1 @ 2.04% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 1.79% (-0.12)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 5.79%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 3
Sep 12, 2021 11.30am
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Maya Yoshida 32' goal
  • Morten Thorsby 35' yellowcard
  • Tommaso Augello 47' goal
  • Bartosz Bereszynski 67' yellowcard
  • Omar Colley 82' yellowcard
  • Adrien Silva 88' yellowcard
  • goal Federico Dimarco 18'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Brozovic 22'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 44'
  • yellowcard Edin Dzeko 89'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Correa 90'
  • yellowcard Arturo Vidal 90'+3'
Serie A Gameweek 35
May 8, 2021 5.00pm
5
1
HT : 3 1
FT
  • Roberto Gagliardini 4' goal
  • Alexis Sanchez 26' goal
  • Alexis Sanchez 36' goal
  • Andrea Pinamonti 61' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 70' goal
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Tonelli 31'
  • goal Keita Balde 35'
  • yellowcard Adrien Silva 68'
Serie A Gameweek 16
Jan 6, 2021 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Antonio Candreva 23' goal
  • Keita Balde 38' goal
  • Morten Thorsby 57' yellowcard
  • Keita Balde 84' yellowcard
  • Kristoffer Askildsen 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lautaro Martinez 16'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Barella 23'
  • yellowcard Stefan de Vrij 40'
  • goal Stefan de Vrij 65'
  • yellowcard Achraf Hakimi 90'+1'
Serie A Gameweek 25
Jun 21, 2020 8.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Giuseppe Meazza
  • Romelu Lukaku 10' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 33' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 48' yellowcard
  • Borja Valero 86' yellowcard
  • Roberto Gagliardini 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andrea Bertolacci 22'
  • goal Morten Thorsby 53'
  • yellowcard Morten Thorsby 64'
  • yellowcard Ronaldo Vieira 90'+3'
Serie A Gameweek 6
Sep 28, 2019 5.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris (Genova)
  • Emiliano Rigoni 16' yellowcard
  • Karol Linetty 33' yellowcard
  • Jakub Jankto 55' goal
  • yellowcard Alessandro Bastoni 10'
  • goal Stefano Sensi 20'
  • goal Alexis Sanchez 22'
  • yellowcard Alexis Sanchez 43'
  • redcard Alexis Sanchez 46'
  • goal Roberto Gagliardini 61'
  • yellowcard Milan Skriniar 81'
Serie A Gameweek 24
Feb 17, 2019 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (Milano)
  • Danilo D'Ambrosio 17' yellowcard
  • Ivan Perisic 24' yellowcard
  • Milan Skriniar 31' yellowcard
  • Danilo D'Ambrosio 73' goal
  • Radja Nainggolan 78' goal
  • yellowcard Karol Linetty 28'
  • goal Manolo Gabbiadini 76'