| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Empoli | 38 | -20 | 41 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 38 | -17 | 36 |
| 16 | Spezia | 38 | -30 | 36 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Spezia | 38 | -30 | 36 |
| 17 | Salernitana | 38 | -45 | 31 |
| 18 | Cagliari | 38 | -34 | 30 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 56.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 20.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sampdoria | Draw | Salernitana |
| 56.8% | 23.06% | 20.14% |
| Both teams to score 51.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.22% | 47.78% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.03% | 69.97% |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.4% | 16.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.59% | 46.41% |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.06% | 37.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.29% | 74.7% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sampdoria | Draw | Salernitana |
| 1-0 @ 11.3% 2-0 @ 10.15% 2-1 @ 9.84% 3-0 @ 6.08% 3-1 @ 5.89% 3-2 @ 2.86% 4-0 @ 2.73% 4-1 @ 2.65% 4-2 @ 1.28% 5-0 @ 0.98% 5-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.09% Total : 56.79% | 1-1 @ 10.96% 0-0 @ 6.3% 2-2 @ 4.77% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.06% | 0-1 @ 6.1% 1-2 @ 5.31% 0-2 @ 2.96% 1-3 @ 1.72% 2-3 @ 1.54% 0-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.55% Total : 20.14% |