Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 56.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 20.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.