Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 32

Apr 10, 2022 at 5pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
2 - 1
Salernitana

Perez (82'), Smalling (85')
Kumbulla (21'), Cristante (54'), Mkhitaryan (80'), Abraham (90'), Patricio (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Radovanovic (22')
Bohinen (13'), Djuric (30'), Gyomber (41'), Ribery (67'), Sepe (71'), Kastanos (75'), Zortea (81'), Radovanovic (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

Last Six:

Last Game: Roma 1-0 Feyenoord
Wednesday, May 25 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Lazio	38	19	64
6	Roma	38	16	63
7	Fiorentina	38	8	62

Salernitana

Last Six:

Last Game: Salernitana 0-4 Udinese
Sunday, May 22 at 8pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Spezia	38	-30	36
17	Salernitana	38	-45	31
18	Cagliari	38	-34	30

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 80.35%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 5.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.53%) and 1-0 (12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.42%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (2.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Salernitana
80.35%	13.7%	5.94%

Both teams to score 38.02%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.52%

41.48%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.11%

63.88%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.82%

8.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.33%

28.66%

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

41.41%

58.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.09%

89.91%

Score Analysis

Roma 80.34%

Salernitana 5.94%

Draw 13.7%

Roma	Draw	Salernitana
2-0 @ 15.02% 3-0 @ 12.53% 1-0 @ 12% 2-1 @ 8.03% 4-0 @ 7.85% 3-1 @ 6.7% 4-1 @ 4.2% 5-0 @ 3.93% 5-1 @ 2.1% 3-2 @ 1.79% 6-0 @ 1.64% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.43% Total : 80.34%	1-1 @ 6.42% 0-0 @ 4.79% 2-2 @ 2.15% Other @ 0.35% Total : 13.7%	0-1 @ 2.56% 1-2 @ 1.72% Other @ 1.67% Total : 5.94%