Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Lazio | 38 | 19 | 64 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 16 | 63 |
7 | Fiorentina | 38 | 8 | 62 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
16 | Spezia | 38 | -30 | 36 |
17 | Salernitana | 38 | -45 | 31 |
18 | Cagliari | 38 | -34 | 30 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 80.35%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 5.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.53%) and 1-0 (12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.42%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (2.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Salernitana |
80.35% | 13.7% | 5.94% |
Both teams to score 38.02% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.52% | 41.48% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.11% | 63.88% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.82% | 8.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.33% | 28.66% |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
41.41% | 58.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
10.09% | 89.91% |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Salernitana |
2-0 @ 15.02% 3-0 @ 12.53% 1-0 @ 12% 2-1 @ 8.03% 4-0 @ 7.85% 3-1 @ 6.7% 4-1 @ 4.2% 5-0 @ 3.93% 5-1 @ 2.1% 3-2 @ 1.79% 6-0 @ 1.64% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.43% Total : 80.34% | 1-1 @ 6.42% 0-0 @ 4.79% 2-2 @ 2.15% Other @ 0.35% Total : 13.7% | 0-1 @ 2.56% 1-2 @ 1.72% Other @ 1.67% Total : 5.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 32 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 77 | 17 | 60 | 83 |
2 | AC Milan | 32 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 63 | 37 | 26 | 69 |
3 | Juventus | 32 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 63 |
4 | Bologna | 32 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 45 | 25 | 20 | 59 |
5 | Roma | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 55 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 57 | 36 | 21 | 51 |
7 | Napoli | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 49 |
8 | Lazio | 32 | 15 | 4 | 13 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 49 |
9 | Torino | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 45 |
10 | Fiorentina | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 44 |
11 | Monza | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 43 |
12 | Genoa | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 32 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 31 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 28 |
16 | Udinese | 31 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 28 |
17 | Empoli | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 28 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 27 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 26 |
20 | Salernitana | 32 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 26 | 68 | -42 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |