Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 38

May 22, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stadio Arechi

Salernitana
0 - 4
Udinese

Belec (45+4'), Nicola (74')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Deulofeu (6'), Nestorovski (34'), Udogie (42'), Pereyra (57')
Pereyra (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salernitana

Last Six:

Last Game: Salernitana 0-4 Udinese
Sunday, May 22 at 8pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Spezia	38	-30	36
17	Salernitana	38	-45	31
18	Cagliari	38	-34	30

Udinese

Last Six:

Last Game: Salernitana 0-4 Udinese
Sunday, May 22 at 8pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Sassuolo	38	-2	50
12	Udinese	38	3	47
13	Bologna	38	-11	46

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 37.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Udinese would win this match.

Result
Salernitana	Draw	Udinese
37.14% ( -0.94)	25.23% ( -0.22)	37.63% ( 1.16)

Both teams to score 56.95% (

0.8)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.3% (

1.02)

46.7% (

-1.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.04% (

0.95)

68.96% (

-0.95)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.34% (

-0.04)

24.66% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.81% (

-0.06)

59.19% (

0.06)

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.6% (

1.11)

24.4% (

-1.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.18% (

1.54)

58.82% (

-1.54)

Score Analysis

Salernitana 37.14%

Udinese 37.63%

Draw 25.22%

Salernitana	Draw	Udinese
1-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.38) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.86% Total : 37.14%	1-1 @ 11.88% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.22%	0-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 8.38% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.11) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.9% Total : 37.63%