| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Spezia | 38 | -30 | 36 |
| 17 | Salernitana | 38 | -45 | 31 |
| 18 | Cagliari | 38 | -34 | 30 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Salernitana | 38 | -45 | 31 |
| 18 | Cagliari | 38 | -34 | 30 |
| 19 | Genoa | 38 | -33 | 28 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 44.97%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Salernitana | Draw | Cagliari |
| 44.97% ( | 26.15% ( | 28.88% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.34% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.19% ( | 52.81% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.57% ( | 74.43% ( |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.6% ( | 23.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.61% ( | 57.39% ( |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.02% ( | 32.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.44% ( | 69.56% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Salernitana | Draw | Cagliari |
| 1-0 @ 11.2% ( 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 2-0 @ 8.14% ( 3-1 @ 4.37% ( 3-0 @ 3.94% ( 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 4-1 @ 1.59% ( 4-0 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 2.84% Total : 44.96% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0-0 @ 7.72% ( 2-2 @ 5.01% ( Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.15% | 0-1 @ 8.56% ( 1-2 @ 6.9% ( 0-2 @ 4.75% ( 1-3 @ 2.55% ( 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0-3 @ 1.76% ( Other @ 2.51% Total : 28.88% |