| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Salernitana | 38 | -45 | 31 |
| 18 | Cagliari | 38 | -34 | 30 |
| 19 | Genoa | 38 | -33 | 28 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 17 | 59 |
| 9 | Hellas Verona | 38 | 6 | 53 |
| 10 | Torino | 38 | 5 | 50 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 44.36%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 2-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Hellas Verona in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 30.96% | 24.68% | 44.36% |
| Both teams to score 57.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.38% | 45.62% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.05% | 67.95% |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.15% | 27.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.55% | 63.45% |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.35% | 20.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.78% | 53.22% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cagliari | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 2-1 @ 7.41% 1-0 @ 7.35% 2-0 @ 4.7% 3-1 @ 3.16% 3-2 @ 2.49% 3-0 @ 2% 4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.83% Total : 30.96% | 1-1 @ 11.59% 2-2 @ 5.85% 0-0 @ 5.75% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.68% | 1-2 @ 9.15% 0-1 @ 9.07% 0-2 @ 7.16% 1-3 @ 4.81% 0-3 @ 3.76% 2-3 @ 3.08% 1-4 @ 1.9% 0-4 @ 1.48% 2-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.75% Total : 44.36% |