| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 17 | 59 |
| 9 | Hellas Verona | 38 | 6 | 53 |
| 10 | Torino | 38 | 5 | 50 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Cagliari | 38 | -34 | 30 |
| 19 | Genoa | 38 | -33 | 28 |
| 20 | Venezia | 38 | -35 | 27 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 62.01%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 16.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hellas Verona in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Genoa |
| 62.01% | 21.07% | 16.91% |
| Both teams to score 52.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.83% | 44.17% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.45% | 66.55% |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.31% | 13.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.09% | 40.91% |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.54% | 39.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.85% | 76.15% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Genoa |
| 1-0 @ 10.74% 2-0 @ 10.68% 2-1 @ 9.93% 3-0 @ 7.08% 3-1 @ 6.58% 4-0 @ 3.52% 4-1 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 3.06% 4-2 @ 1.52% 5-0 @ 1.4% 5-1 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.92% Total : 62.01% | 1-1 @ 9.99% 0-0 @ 5.4% 2-2 @ 4.62% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.07% | 0-1 @ 5.02% 1-2 @ 4.64% 0-2 @ 2.34% 1-3 @ 1.44% 2-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.04% Total : 16.91% |