Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 52.8%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 23.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.