| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Cagliari | 38 | -34 | 30 |
| 19 | Genoa | 38 | -33 | 28 |
| 20 | Venezia | 38 | -35 | 27 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Hellas Verona | 38 | 6 | 53 |
| 10 | Torino | 38 | 5 | 50 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 38 | -2 | 50 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Genoa in this match.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Torino |
| 31.67% | 27.21% | 41.11% |
| Both teams to score 49.43% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.13% | 55.86% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.02% | 76.98% |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.47% | 32.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.94% | 69.06% |
| Torino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.27% | 26.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38% | 61.99% |
| Score Analysis |
| Genoa | Draw | Torino |
| 1-0 @ 9.76% 2-1 @ 7.24% 2-0 @ 5.48% 3-1 @ 2.71% 3-0 @ 2.05% 3-2 @ 1.79% Other @ 2.64% Total : 31.67% | 1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 8.69% 2-2 @ 4.77% Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.21% | 0-1 @ 11.47% 1-2 @ 8.5% 0-2 @ 7.57% 1-3 @ 3.74% 0-3 @ 3.33% 2-3 @ 2.1% 1-4 @ 1.23% 0-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.07% Total : 41.11% |