| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 17 | 59 |
| 9 | Hellas Verona | 38 | 6 | 53 |
| 10 | Torino | 38 | 5 | 50 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Hellas Verona | 38 | 6 | 53 |
| 10 | Torino | 38 | 5 | 50 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 38 | -2 | 50 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Torino had a probability of 35.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Torino win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Torino |
| 39.85% ( | 25.06% ( | 35.08% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.32% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.86% ( | 46.13% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.57% ( | 68.43% ( |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.01% ( | 22.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.21% ( | 56.79% ( |
| Torino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.44% ( | 25.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.57% ( | 60.42% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Torino |
| 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 1-0 @ 8.64% ( 2-0 @ 6.35% ( 3-1 @ 4.25% ( 3-0 @ 3.11% ( 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 4-2 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.18% Total : 39.85% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0-0 @ 5.88% ( 3-3 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.06% | 1-2 @ 8.04% ( 0-1 @ 8.02% ( 0-2 @ 5.47% ( 1-3 @ 3.66% ( 2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0-3 @ 2.49% ( 1-4 @ 1.25% 2-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.57% Total : 35.08% |