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Serie A | Gameweek 36
May 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona
Milan logo

Hellas Verona
1 - 3
AC Milan

Faraoni (38')
Faraoni (45+1'), Ilic (70')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Tonali (45+3', 50'), Florenzi (86')
Leao (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Hellas Verona and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Hellas Verona 1-2 AC Milan

With such a reliable front three, Verona should be fancied to break down even Milan's steadfast back four at some stage, but that may not prove enough to taste victory at the final whistle, given their visitors have lost only a single Serie A away game. The Rossoneri have not been prolific of late, but having Ibrahimovic back on the bench offers an invaluable option to mix things up if the game remains deadlocked in the tense final stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 48.98%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 26.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
Hellas VeronaDrawAC Milan
26.85% (-1.227 -1.23) 24.16% (0.074999999999999 0.07) 48.98% (1.149 1.15)
Both teams to score 56.22% (-1.255 -1.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.27% (-1.201 -1.2)45.72% (1.199 1.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.95% (-1.152 -1.15)68.04% (1.151 1.15)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.19% (-1.538 -1.54)30.81% (1.533 1.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.92% (-1.847 -1.85)67.08% (1.845 1.85)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.25% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)18.75% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.87% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)50.13% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Hellas Verona 26.85%
    AC Milan 48.98%
    Draw 24.16%
Hellas VeronaDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 6.8% (0.061 0.06)
2-1 @ 6.7% (-0.229 -0.23)
2-0 @ 4% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-1 @ 2.63% (-0.208 -0.21)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.175 -0.18)
3-0 @ 1.57% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 26.85%
1-1 @ 11.38% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 5.78% (0.29 0.29)
2-2 @ 5.61% (-0.194 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.16%
0-1 @ 9.67% (0.483 0.48)
1-2 @ 9.53% (0.081 0.08)
0-2 @ 8.09% (0.402 0.4)
1-3 @ 5.32% (0.044 0.04)
0-3 @ 4.52% (0.223 0.22)
2-3 @ 3.13% (-0.109 -0.11)
1-4 @ 2.23% (0.018 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.89% (0.093 0.09)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 48.98%

How you voted: Hellas Verona vs AC Milan

Hellas Verona
14.0%
Draw
10.0%
AC Milan
76.0%
100
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2021 7.45pm
AC Milan
3-2
Hellas Verona
Giroud (59'), Kessie (76' pen.), Gunter (78' og.)
Ballo-Toure (81')
Caprari (7'), Barak (24' pen.)
Ceccherini (5'), Kalinic (25'), Casale (38'), Veloso (54')
Mar 7, 2021 2pm
Nov 8, 2020 7.45pm
AC Milan
2-2
Hellas Verona
Magnani (27' og.), Ibrahimovic (90+3')
Bennacer (54')
Barak (6'), Calabria (19' og.)
Ceccherini (33'), Lovato (42'), Tameze (90+1')
Feb 2, 2020 2pm
Sep 15, 2019 7.45pm
Hellas Verona
0-1
AC Milan

Veloso (40'), Gunter (65'), Amrabat (74'), Silvestri (85')
Stepinski (21')
Piatek (68' pen.)
Piatek (24'), Paqueta (35'), Rebic (86')
Calabria (95')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta15111338172134
2Napoli15102321101132
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1494128101831
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus1569024101427
7AC Milan146442416822
8Bologna145722018222
9Udinese156271822-420
10Empoli154741415-119
11Roma154471821-316
12Torino154471620-416
13Parma153662125-415
14Genoa153661324-1115
15CagliariCagliari153571525-1014
16Lecce15348826-1813
17Como152671628-1212
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1540111837-1912
19Monza151771319-610
20VeneziaVenezia1523101327-149


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