Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 36

May 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona

Hellas Verona
1 - 3
AC Milan

Faraoni (38')
Faraoni (45+1'), Ilic (70')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Tonali (45+3', 50'), Florenzi (86')
Leao (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Hellas Verona and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hellas Verona

Last Six:

Last Game: Lazio 3-3 Hellas Verona
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Atalanta BC	38	17	59
9	Hellas Verona	38	6	53
10	Torino	38	5	50

AC Milan

Last Six:

Last Game: Sassuolo 0-3 AC Milan
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	AC Milan	38	38	86
2	Inter Milan	38	52	84
3	Napoli	38	43	79

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 48.98%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 26.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
Hellas Verona	Draw	AC Milan
26.85% ( -1.23)	24.16% ( 0.07)	48.98% ( 1.15)

Both teams to score 56.22% (

-1.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.27% (

-1.2)

45.72% (

1.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.95% (

-1.15)

68.04% (

1.15)

Hellas Verona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.19% (

-1.54)

30.81% (

1.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.92% (

-1.85)

67.08% (

1.85)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.25% (

-0.01)

18.75% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.87% (

-0.01)

50.13% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Hellas Verona 26.85%

AC Milan 48.98%

Draw 24.16%

Hellas Verona	Draw	AC Milan
1-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 4% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.95% Total : 26.85%	1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.19) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.16%	0-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.48) 1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 8.09% ( 0.4) 1-3 @ 5.32% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 4.52% ( 0.22) 2-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 2.23% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.89% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.3% Total : 48.98%