Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 17 | 59 |
9 | Hellas Verona | 38 | 6 | 53 |
10 | Torino | 38 | 5 | 50 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | AC Milan | 38 | 38 | 86 |
2 | Inter Milan | 38 | 52 | 84 |
3 | Napoli | 38 | 43 | 79 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 48.98%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 26.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Hellas Verona | Draw | AC Milan |
26.85% ( -1.23) | 24.16% ( 0.07) | 48.98% ( 1.15) |
Both teams to score 56.22% ( -1.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.27% ( -1.2) | 45.72% ( 1.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.95% ( -1.15) | 68.04% ( 1.15) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.19% ( -1.54) | 30.81% ( 1.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.92% ( -1.85) | 67.08% ( 1.85) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.25% ( -0.01) | 18.75% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.87% ( -0.01) | 50.13% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Hellas Verona | Draw | AC Milan |
1-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 4% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.95% Total : 26.85% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.19) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.16% | 0-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.48) 1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 8.09% ( 0.4) 1-3 @ 5.32% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 4.52% ( 0.22) 2-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 2.23% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.89% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.3% Total : 48.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 34 |
2 | Napoli | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 32 |
3 | Inter Milan | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 31 |
4 | Fiorentina | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 10 | 18 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 15 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 27 |
7 | AC Milan | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 22 |
8 | Bologna | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 22 |
9 | Udinese | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 19 |
11 | Roma | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 16 |
12 | Torino | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 16 |
13 | Parma | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 15 |
14 | Genoa | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 14 |
16 | Lecce | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 13 |
17 | Como | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 12 |
19 | Monza | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 9 |
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