Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 33

Apr 15, 2022 at 8pm UK

San Siro

AC Milan
2 - 0
Genoa

Leao (11'), Messias (87')
Tonali (84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Yeboah (79'), Gudmundsson (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

Last Six:

Last Game: Sassuolo 0-3 AC Milan
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	AC Milan	38	38	86
2	Inter Milan	38	52	84
3	Napoli	38	43	79

Genoa

Last Six:

Last Game: Genoa 0-1 Bologna
Saturday, May 21 at 4.15pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Cagliari	38	-34	30
19	Genoa	38	-33	28
20	Venezia	38	-35	27

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 77.87%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 7.33%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.46%) and 1-0 (11.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.01%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (2.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for AC Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AC Milan.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Genoa
77.87%	14.8%	7.33%

Both teams to score 41.9%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.13%

40.87%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.73%

63.26%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.39%

8.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.27%

29.72%

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.84%

54.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.63%

87.37%

Score Analysis

AC Milan 77.86%

Genoa 7.33%

Draw 14.8%

AC Milan	Draw	Genoa
2-0 @ 14.02% 3-0 @ 11.46% 1-0 @ 11.43% 2-1 @ 8.6% 3-1 @ 7.03% 4-0 @ 7.03% 4-1 @ 4.31% 5-0 @ 3.45% 3-2 @ 2.16% 5-1 @ 2.12% 6-0 @ 1.41% 4-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.53% Total : 77.86%	1-1 @ 7.01% 0-0 @ 4.66% 2-2 @ 2.64% Other @ 0.48% Total : 14.8%	0-1 @ 2.86% 1-2 @ 2.15% Other @ 2.32% Total : 7.33%