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Serie A | Gameweek 33
Apr 15, 2022 at 8pm UK
San Siro
Genoa logo

AC Milan
2 - 0
Genoa

Leao (11'), Messias (87')
Tonali (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Yeboah (79'), Gudmundsson (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Genoa 0-1 Bologna
Saturday, May 21 at 4.15pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 1-0 Genoa

Both sides have been difficult to break down in recent months but they have also struggled to find the net, so a low-scoring contest could be on the cards at San Siro. However, Milan will be the firm favourites to come away with maximum points and they should have enough quality in their side to edge past the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 77.87%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 7.33%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.46%) and 1-0 (11.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.01%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (2.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for AC Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AC Milan.

Result
AC MilanDrawGenoa
77.87%14.8%7.33%
Both teams to score 41.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.13%40.87%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.73%63.26%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.39%8.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.27%29.72%
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.84%54.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.63%87.37%
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 77.86%
    Genoa 7.33%
    Draw 14.8%
AC MilanDrawGenoa
2-0 @ 14.02%
3-0 @ 11.46%
1-0 @ 11.43%
2-1 @ 8.6%
3-1 @ 7.03%
4-0 @ 7.03%
4-1 @ 4.31%
5-0 @ 3.45%
3-2 @ 2.16%
5-1 @ 2.12%
6-0 @ 1.41%
4-2 @ 1.32%
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 77.86%
1-1 @ 7.01%
0-0 @ 4.66%
2-2 @ 2.64%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 14.8%
0-1 @ 2.86%
1-2 @ 2.15%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 7.33%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Genoa

AC Milan
85.9%
Draw
11.1%
Genoa
3.0%
135
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2022 8pm
AC Milan
3-1
Genoa
Giroud (74'), Leao (102'), Saelemaekers (112')
Tonali (42'), Saelemaekers (115')
Skiri Oestigaard (17')
Badelj (37'), Yeboah (47'), Skiri Oestigaard (53'), Hefti (64')
Dec 1, 2021 7.45pm
Genoa
0-3
AC Milan

Masiello (67'), Rovella (73')
Ibrahimovic (10'), Messias (45+2', 61')
Gabbia (32')
Apr 18, 2021 11.30am
AC Milan
2-1
Genoa
Rebic (13'), Scamacca (68' og.)
Destro (37')
Goldaniga (26')
Dec 16, 2020 7.45pm
Genoa
2-2
AC Milan
Destro (47', 60')
Pellegrini (18'), Radovanovic (87')
Calabria (52'), Kalulu (83')
Romagnoli (25'), Castillejo (54'), Leao (83')
Mar 8, 2020 2pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta15111338172134
2Napoli15102321101132
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1494128101831
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus1569024101427
7AC Milan146442416822
8Bologna145722018222
9Udinese156271822-420
10Empoli154741415-119
11Roma154471821-316
12Torino154471620-416
13Parma153662125-415
14Genoa153661324-1115
15CagliariCagliari153571525-1014
16Lecce15348826-1813
17Como152671628-1212
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1540111837-1912
19Monza151771319-610
20VeneziaVenezia1523101327-149


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