Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 38

May 22, 2022 at 5pm UK

Stadio Alberto Braglia

Sassuolo
0 - 3
AC Milan

Lopez (37'), Kiriakopoulos (53')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Giroud (17', 32'), Kessie (36')
Tonali (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Sassuolo and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sassuolo

Last Six:

Last Game: Sassuolo 0-3 AC Milan
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Torino	38	5	50
11	Sassuolo	38	-2	50
12	Udinese	38	3	47

AC Milan

Last Six:

Last Game: Sassuolo 0-3 AC Milan
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	AC Milan	38	38	86
2	Inter Milan	38	52	84
3	Napoli	38	43	79

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 50.62%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.1%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
Sassuolo	Draw	AC Milan
26.61% ( 1.07)	22.77% ( 0.28)	50.62% ( -1.35)

Both teams to score 60.8% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.43% (

-0.36)

39.57% (

0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.08% (

-0.37)

61.92% (

0.36)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.23% (

0.61)

27.77% (

-0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.65% (

0.77)

63.35% (

-0.78)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.18% (

-0.6)

15.82% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.01% (

-1.11)

44.99% (

1.1)

Score Analysis

Sassuolo 26.61%

AC Milan 50.62%

Draw 22.76%

Sassuolo	Draw	AC Milan
2-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.2) 1-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.82% Total : 26.61%	1-1 @ 10.37% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.76%	1-2 @ 9.57% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.47% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 5.88% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 4.59% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.71% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 2.12% ( -0.14) 2-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 1% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.68% Total : 50.62%