The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Sassuolo and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sassuolo 0-3 AC Milan
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Serie A
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Serie A
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Torino | 38 | 5 | 50 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 38 | -2 | 50 |
| 12 | Udinese | 38 | 3 | 47 |
Last Game: Sassuolo 0-3 AC Milan
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Serie A
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Serie A
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | AC Milan | 38 | 38 | 86 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 38 | 52 | 84 |
| 3 | Napoli | 38 | 43 | 79 |
We said: Sassuolo 1-2 AC Milan
Only Inter have attempted more shots than Sassuolo (299) and AC Milan (296) in the second half of this Serie A season, so in normal circumstances, this encounter may be an open affair with a series of chances at either end. While the home side rarely hold anything back, thanks to the potency of their four-man forward line, the Rossoneri have their eyes fixed on the main prize and are likely to take a relatively cautious approach - which has often served them well as they moved to within touching distance of the Scudetto. It is their pace and power on the counter which could ultimately prove decisive. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 50.62%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.1%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | AC Milan |
26.61% ( 1.07) | 22.77% ( 0.28) | 50.62% ( -1.35) |
| Both teams to score 60.8% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
