Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | Torino | 38 | 5 | 50 |
11 | Sassuolo | 38 | -2 | 50 |
12 | Udinese | 38 | 3 | 47 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | AC Milan | 38 | 38 | 86 |
2 | Inter Milan | 38 | 52 | 84 |
3 | Napoli | 38 | 43 | 79 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 50.62%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.1%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Sassuolo | Draw | AC Milan |
26.61% ( 1.07) | 22.77% ( 0.28) | 50.62% ( -1.35) |
Both teams to score 60.8% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.43% ( -0.36) | 39.57% ( 0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.08% ( -0.37) | 61.92% ( 0.36) |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.23% ( 0.61) | 27.77% ( -0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.65% ( 0.77) | 63.35% ( -0.78) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.18% ( -0.6) | 15.82% ( 0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.01% ( -1.11) | 44.99% ( 1.1) |
Score Analysis |
Sassuolo | Draw | AC Milan |
2-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.2) 1-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.82% Total : 26.61% | 1-1 @ 10.37% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.76% | 1-2 @ 9.57% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.47% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 5.88% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 4.59% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.71% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 2.12% ( -0.14) 2-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 1% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.68% Total : 50.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 32 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 77 | 17 | 60 | 83 |
2 | AC Milan | 32 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 63 | 37 | 26 | 69 |
3 | Juventus | 32 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 63 |
4 | Bologna | 32 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 45 | 25 | 20 | 59 |
5 | Roma | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 55 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 57 | 36 | 21 | 51 |
7 | Napoli | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 49 |
8 | Lazio | 32 | 15 | 4 | 13 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 49 |
9 | Torino | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 45 |
10 | Fiorentina | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 44 |
11 | Monza | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 43 |
12 | Genoa | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 32 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 31 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 28 |
16 | Udinese | 31 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 28 |
17 | Empoli | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 28 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 27 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 26 |
20 | Salernitana | 32 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 26 | 68 | -42 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |