Serie A Gameweek 35
May 1, 2022 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Rafael Leao 82' goal
  • Ismael Bennacer 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Youssef Maleh 2'
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Venuti 42'
  • yellowcard Lucas Martinez 72'

AC Milan vs Fiorentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Apr 24, 2022 7.45pm
Lazio 1 - 2 AC Milan
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Rafael Leao

Fiorentina

All competitions
Last game
Apr 27, 2022 5.00pm
Fiorentina 0 - 4 Udinese
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Dusan Vlahovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 63.31%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 15.94%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AC Milan in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for AC Milan.

Result

AC Milan 63.31%
Draw 20.75%
Fiorentina 15.94%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.19%

Goals

Over 2.5 55.49%
Under 2.5 44.51%
Over 3.5 33.12%
Under 3.5 66.88%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 86.59%
Under 0.5 13.41%
Over 1.5 59.65%
Under 1.5 40.35%

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 59.11%
Under 0.5 40.88%
Over 1.5 22.55%
Under 1.5 77.45%

Score analysis

AC Milan 63.3%
Draw 20.75%
Fiorentina 15.94%
AC Milan
2-0 @ 11.06%
1-0 @ 11.01%
2-1 @ 9.9%
3-0 @ 7.41%
3-1 @ 6.63%
4-0 @ 3.72%
4-1 @ 3.33%
3-2 @ 2.97%
5-0 @ 1.5%
4-2 @ 1.49%
5-1 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 63.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.85%
0-0 @ 5.48%
2-2 @ 4.43%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 20.75%
Fiorentina
0-1 @ 4.9%
1-2 @ 4.41%
0-2 @ 2.19%
2-3 @ 1.32%
1-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 15.94%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 13
Nov 20, 2021 7.45pm
4
3
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Alfred Duncan 15' goal
  • Riccardo Saponara 45'+1' goal
  • Dusan Vlahovic 60' goal
  • Dusan Vlahovic 85' goal
  • Gaetano Castrovilli 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Zlatan Ibrahimovic 62'
  • goal Zlatan Ibrahimovic 67'
  • yellowcard Theo Hernandez 90'+5'
  • goal Lorenzo Venuti 90'+6' (OG)
Serie A Gameweek 28
Mar 21, 2021 5.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Erick Pulgar 17' goal
  • Franck Ribery 51' goal
  • Cesare Prandelli 65' yellowcard
  • Christian Kouame 89' yellowcard
  • goal Zlatan Ibrahimovic 9'
  • yellowcard Hakan Calhanoglu 41'
  • yellowcard Diogo Dalot 47'
  • goal Brahim Diaz 57'
  • goal Hakan Calhanoglu 72'
  • yellowcard Soualiho Meite 90'+2'
Serie A Gameweek 9
Nov 29, 2020 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Alessio Romagnoli 17' goal
  • Franck Kessie 28' goal
  • Ante Rebic 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Franck Kessie 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard German Pezzella 25'
  • yellowcard Gaetano Castrovilli 52'
  • yellowcard Cristiano Biraghi 86'
  • yellowcard Sofyan Amrabat 90'+1'
Serie A Gameweek 25
Feb 22, 2020 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • Dalbert Henrique 62' redcard
  • Martin Caceres 76' yellowcard
  • Erick Pulgar 85' goal
  • yellowcard Ismael Bennacer 12'
  • yellowcard Hakan Calhanoglu 25'
  • goal Ante Rebic 56'
  • yellowcard Theo Hernandez 85'
Serie A Gameweek 6
Sep 29, 2019 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (Milano)
  • Ismael Bennacer 13' yellowcard
  • Mateo Musacchio 55' redcard
  • Rafael Leao 80' goal
  • Davide Calabria 86' yellowcard
  • goal Erick Pulgar 14'
  • yellowcard Nikola Milenkovic 35'
  • yellowcard German Pezzella 49'
  • goal Gaetano Castrovilli 66'
  • goal Franck Ribery 78'
  • yellowcard Pol Lirola 86'
  • yellowcard Marco Benassi 87'
Serie A Gameweek 36
May 11, 2019 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi (Firenze)
  • Cristiano Biraghi 34' yellowcard
  • Vincent Laurini 67' yellowcard
  • goal Hakan Calhanoglu 35'
  • yellowcard Gianluigi Donnarumma 78'