| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | AC Milan | 38 | 38 | 86 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 38 | 52 | 84 |
| 3 | Napoli | 38 | 43 | 79 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Roma | 38 | 16 | 63 |
| 7 | Fiorentina | 38 | 8 | 62 |
| 8 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 17 | 59 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 67.62%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 13.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 1-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 1-2 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 67.62% | 18.45% | 13.93% |
| Both teams to score 54.1% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.84% | 38.16% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.56% | 60.44% |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.64% | 10.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.14% | 33.86% |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.35% | 39.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.67% | 76.33% |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Milan | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 2-0 @ 10.55% 2-1 @ 9.77% 1-0 @ 9.32% 3-0 @ 7.98% 3-1 @ 7.38% 4-0 @ 4.52% 4-1 @ 4.18% 3-2 @ 3.41% 5-0 @ 2.05% 4-2 @ 1.94% 5-1 @ 1.9% Other @ 4.62% Total : 67.61% | 1-1 @ 8.62% 2-2 @ 4.52% 0-0 @ 4.11% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.15% Total : 18.45% | 1-2 @ 3.99% 0-1 @ 3.8% 0-2 @ 1.76% 2-3 @ 1.39% 1-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.76% Total : 13.93% |