Serie A Gameweek 30
Mar 19, 2022 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Raoul Bellanova 77' yellowcard
  • goal Ismael Bennacer 59'

Cagliari vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions
Last game
Mar 12, 2022 2.00pm
Spezia 2 - 0 Cagliari
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Joao Pedro

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Mar 12, 2022 7.45pm
AC Milan 1 - 0 Empoli
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Rafael Leao

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 61.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 17.91%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.57%) and 0-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Cagliari win it was 2-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result

Cagliari 17.91%
Draw 20.42%
AC Milan 61.67%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.61%

Goals

Over 2.5 60.58%
Under 2.5 39.42%
Over 3.5 38.24%
Under 3.5 61.76%

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5 64.55%
Under 0.5 35.45%
Over 1.5 27.79%
Under 1.5 72.21%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 87.7%
Under 0.5 12.3%
Over 1.5 61.92%
Under 1.5 38.08%

Score analysis

Cagliari 17.91%
Draw 20.42%
AC Milan 61.67%
Cagliari
2-1 @ 4.91%
1-0 @ 4.52%
2-0 @ 2.35%
3-2 @ 1.78%
3-1 @ 1.7%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 17.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.48%
2-2 @ 5.15%
0-0 @ 4.36%
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.42%
AC Milan
1-2 @ 9.93%
0-2 @ 9.57%
0-1 @ 9.14%
1-3 @ 6.94%
0-3 @ 6.69%
1-4 @ 3.63%
2-3 @ 3.6%
0-4 @ 3.5%
2-4 @ 1.88%
1-5 @ 1.52%
0-5 @ 1.47%
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 61.67%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 2
Aug 29, 2021 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 4 1
FT
  • Sandro Tonali 12' goal
  • Rafael Leao 17' goal
  • Olivier Giroud 24' goal
  • Olivier Giroud 43' goal
  • Brahim Diaz 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dalbert Henrique 5'
  • goal Alessandro Deiola 15'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Deiola 38'
  • yellowcard Kevin Strootman 41'
  • yellowcard Diego Godin 62'
  • yellowcard Nahitan Nandez 84'
Serie A Gameweek 37
May 16, 2021 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Simon Kjaer 33' yellowcard
  • Davide Calabria 58' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Razvan Marin 40'
  • yellowcard Andrea Carboni 45'+1'
Serie A Gameweek 18
Jan 18, 2021 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Diego Godin 83' yellowcard
  • Luca Ceppitelli 88' yellowcard
  • goal Zlatan Ibrahimovic 7'
  • yellowcard Alessio Romagnoli 39'
  • goal Zlatan Ibrahimovic 52'
  • yellowcard Alexis Saelemaekers 68'
  • redcard Alexis Saelemaekers 74'
Serie A Gameweek 38
Aug 1, 2020 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Giuseppe Meazza
  • Ragnar Klavan 11' goal
  • Zlatan Ibrahimovic 55' goal
  • Samu Castillejo 57' goal
  • Alexis Saelemaekers 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gaston Pereiro 13'
  • yellowcard Paolo Farago 45'
  • yellowcard Alessio Cragno 58'
Serie A Gameweek 19
Jan 11, 2020 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Sardegna Arena (Cagliari)
  • Luca Cigarini 26' yellowcard
  • Nahitan Nandez 39' yellowcard
  • Luca Pellegrini 60' yellowcard
  • goal Rafael Leao 46'
  • yellowcard Ismael Bennacer 61'
  • goal Zlatan Ibrahimovic 64'
Serie A Gameweek 23
Feb 10, 2019 7.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (Milano)
  • Luca Ceppitelli 13' goal
  • Lucas Paqueta 22' goal
  • Krzysztof Piatek 62' goal
  • yellowcard Paolo Farago 75'