Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 30

Mar 19, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Sant'Elia

Cagliari
0 - 1
AC Milan

Bellanova (77')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bennacer (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

Last Six:

Last Game: Venezia 0-0 Cagliari
Sunday, May 22 at 8pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Salernitana	38	-45	31
18	Cagliari	38	-34	30
19	Genoa	38	-33	28

AC Milan

Last Six:

Last Game: Sassuolo 0-3 AC Milan
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	AC Milan	38	38	86
2	Inter Milan	38	52	84
3	Napoli	38	43	79

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 61.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 17.91%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.57%) and 0-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Cagliari win it was 2-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
Cagliari	Draw	AC Milan
17.91%	20.42%	61.67%

Both teams to score 56.61%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.58%

39.42%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.24%

61.76%

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.55%

35.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.79%

72.21%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.7%

12.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.92%

38.08%

Score Analysis

Cagliari 17.91%

AC Milan 61.67%

Draw 20.42%

Cagliari	Draw	AC Milan
2-1 @ 4.91% 1-0 @ 4.52% 2-0 @ 2.35% 3-2 @ 1.78% 3-1 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.65% Total : 17.91%	1-1 @ 9.48% 2-2 @ 5.15% 0-0 @ 4.36% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.42%	1-2 @ 9.93% 0-2 @ 9.57% 0-1 @ 9.14% 1-3 @ 6.94% 0-3 @ 6.69% 1-4 @ 3.63% 2-3 @ 3.6% 0-4 @ 3.5% 2-4 @ 1.88% 1-5 @ 1.52% 0-5 @ 1.47% Other @ 3.8% Total : 61.67%