Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 58.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 19.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.95%) and 0-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-0 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.