Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 58.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 19.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.95%) and 0-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-0 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Napoli |
| 19.53% | 21.76% | 58.71% |
| Both teams to score 54.98% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.99% | 43.01% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.59% | 65.41% |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.17% | 35.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.4% | 72.6% |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.67% | 14.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.83% | 42.17% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cagliari | Draw | Napoli |
| 1-0 @ 5.27% 2-1 @ 5.26% 2-0 @ 2.71% 3-1 @ 1.8% 3-2 @ 1.75% 3-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.83% Total : 19.53% | 1-1 @ 10.23% 0-0 @ 5.13% 2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.75% | 0-1 @ 9.97% 1-2 @ 9.95% 0-2 @ 9.69% 1-3 @ 6.44% 0-3 @ 6.28% 2-3 @ 3.31% 1-4 @ 3.13% 0-4 @ 3.05% 2-4 @ 1.61% 1-5 @ 1.22% 0-5 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.9% Total : 58.71% |