Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 28

Mar 5, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Sant'Elia

Cagliari
0 - 3
Lazio

Altare (18'), Marin (75'), Lovato (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Immobile (19' pen.), Alberto (42'), Anderson (62')
Marusic (71')
Marusic (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

Last Six:

Last Game: Cagliari 1-3 Inter Milan
Sunday, May 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Next Game: Venezia vs. Cagliari
Sunday, May 22 at 8pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Salernitana	37	-41	31
18	Cagliari	37	-34	29
19	Genoa	37	-32	28

Lazio

Last Six:

Last Game: Juventus 2-2 Lazio
Monday, May 16 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Next Game: Lazio vs. Hellas Verona
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Juventus	37	22	70
5	Lazio	37	19	63
6	Roma	38	16	63

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
Cagliari	Draw	Lazio
28.58%	25.45%	45.97%

Both teams to score 53.36%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.9%

50.09%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.93%

72.06%

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.22%

31.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.79%

68.21%

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.21%

21.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.01%

54.98%

Score Analysis

Cagliari 28.58%

Lazio 45.97%

Draw 25.44%

Cagliari	Draw	Lazio
1-0 @ 7.94% 2-1 @ 6.93% 2-0 @ 4.55% 3-1 @ 2.65% 3-2 @ 2.02% 3-0 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.76% Total : 28.58%	1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 6.92% 2-2 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.44%	0-1 @ 10.55% 1-2 @ 9.22% 0-2 @ 8.04% 1-3 @ 4.68% 0-3 @ 4.08% 2-3 @ 2.68% 1-4 @ 1.78% 0-4 @ 1.56% 2-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.35% Total : 45.97%