Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 27

Feb 27, 2022 at 7.50pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
1 - 2
Napoli

Pedro (88')
Radu (71'), Immobile (79'), Zaccagni (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Insigne (62'), Fabian (90+4')
Rui (90+3'), Fabian (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 42.28%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Napoli
32.56%	25.16%	42.28%

Both teams to score 56.34%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.87%

47.13%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.64%

69.36%

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.45%

27.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.93%

63.07%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.76%

22.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.33%

55.67%

Score Analysis

Lazio 32.56%

Napoli 42.28%

Draw 25.15%

Lazio	Draw	Napoli
1-0 @ 7.9% 2-1 @ 7.65% 2-0 @ 5.09% 3-1 @ 3.29% 3-2 @ 2.47% 3-0 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.91% Total : 32.56%	1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 6.13% 2-2 @ 5.75% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.15%	0-1 @ 9.21% 1-2 @ 8.93% 0-2 @ 6.92% 1-3 @ 4.47% 0-3 @ 3.47% 2-3 @ 2.88% 1-4 @ 1.68% 0-4 @ 1.3% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.32% Total : 42.28%