| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 38 | 52 | 84 |
| 3 | Napoli | 38 | 43 | 79 |
| 4 | Juventus | 38 | 20 | 70 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Roma | 38 | 16 | 63 |
| 7 | Fiorentina | 38 | 8 | 62 |
| 8 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 17 | 59 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 58.89%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 19.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.14%) and 1-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 1-2 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 58.89% | 21.23% | 19.87% |
| Both teams to score 57.4% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.91% | 40.08% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.55% | 62.45% |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.68% | 13.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.83% | 40.17% |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.22% | 33.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.56% | 70.43% |
| Score Analysis |
| Napoli | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 2-1 @ 9.92% 2-0 @ 9.14% 1-0 @ 9.07% 3-1 @ 6.67% 3-0 @ 6.14% 3-2 @ 3.62% 4-1 @ 3.36% 4-0 @ 3.1% 4-2 @ 1.83% 5-1 @ 1.36% 5-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.44% Total : 58.89% | 1-1 @ 9.84% 2-2 @ 5.39% 0-0 @ 4.5% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.23% | 1-2 @ 5.34% 0-1 @ 4.88% 0-2 @ 2.65% 2-3 @ 1.95% 1-3 @ 1.93% 0-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.16% Total : 19.87% |