Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
15 | Sampdoria | 38 | -17 | 36 |
16 | Spezia | 38 | -30 | 36 |
17 | Salernitana | 38 | -45 | 31 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Inter Milan | 38 | 52 | 84 |
3 | Napoli | 38 | 43 | 79 |
4 | Juventus | 38 | 20 | 70 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 74.3%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 9.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.68%) and 0-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Napoli |
9.85% ( -0.1) | 15.84% ( -0.04) | 74.3% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 49.83% ( -0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.19% ( -0.12) | 36.8% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.02% ( -0.13) | 58.97% ( 0.13) |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.43% ( -0.27) | 45.57% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.62% ( -0.21) | 81.38% ( 0.21) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.55% ( 0) | 8.44% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.68% ( 0) | 29.32% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Napoli |
1-0 @ 3.03% ( -0) 2-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.75% Total : 9.85% | 1-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.89% Total : 15.84% | 0-2 @ 11.75% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 9.68% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.24% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 7.61% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 5.98% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 4.7% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 2.96% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 2.33% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.85% ( -0.02) 0-6 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) 1-6 @ 0.96% ( -0) 2-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 74.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 69 |
3 | Juventus | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 64 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 55 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
7 | Lazio | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 52 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 43 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 35 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 31 |
16 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
17 | Udinese | 32 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 28 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
20 | Salernitana | 33 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 26 | 70 | -44 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |