/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Fspecallog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fnaplog.png)
-
Rey Manaj
45'+10'
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Matteo Politano
4'
-
Piotr Zielinski
25'
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Diego Demme
36'
-
Matteo Politano
51'
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Faouzi Ghoulam
66'
Spezia vs Napoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F48%2Florenzo-insigne.jpeg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 74.3%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 9.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.68%) and 0-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result
Spezia
9.85%
▼
(-0.10)
Draw
15.84%
▼
(-0.05)
Napoli
74.3%
▲
(+0.14)
Both Teams to Score:
49.83%
▼
(-0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5
63.19%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 2.5
36.8%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 3.5
41.02%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 3.5
58.97%
▲
(+0.13)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5
54.43%
▼
(-0.28)
Under 0.5
45.57%
▲
(+0.28)
Over 1.5
18.62%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 1.5
81.38%
▲
(+0.22)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5
91.55%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
8.44%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
70.68%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
29.32%
▼
(-0.01)
Score analysis
Spezia
9.85%
Draw
15.84%
Napoli
74.3%
Spezia
1-0
@
3.03%
▼
(-0.01)
2-1 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 9.85%
2-1 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 9.85%
Draw
1-1
@
7.48%
▼
(-0.02)
0-0 @ 3.85% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 3.63% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 15.84%
0-0 @ 3.85% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 3.63% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 15.84%
Napoli
0-2
@
11.75%
▲
(+0.08)
0-3 @ 9.68% ▲ (+0.06)
0-1 @ 9.51% ▲ (+0.06)
1-2 @ 9.24% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 7.61% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 5.98% ▲ (+0.04)
1-4 @ 4.7% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.03)
0-5 @ 2.96% ▲ (+0.02)
1-5 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.02)
0-6 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.48%
Total : 74.3%
0-3 @ 9.68% ▲ (+0.06)
0-1 @ 9.51% ▲ (+0.06)
1-2 @ 9.24% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 7.61% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 5.98% ▲ (+0.04)
1-4 @ 4.7% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.03)
0-5 @ 2.96% ▲ (+0.02)
1-5 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.02)
0-6 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.48%
Total : 74.3%
Ardian Ismajli
77'