Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 38

May 22, 2022 at 11.30am UK

Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy

Spezia
0 - 3
Napoli

Manaj (45+10')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Politano (4'), Zielinski (25'), Demme (36')
Politano (51'), Ghoulam (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

Last Six:

Last Game: Spezia 0-3 Napoli
Sunday, May 22 at 11.30am in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Sampdoria	38	-17	36
16	Spezia	38	-30	36
17	Salernitana	38	-45	31

Napoli

Last Six:

Last Game: Spezia 0-3 Napoli
Sunday, May 22 at 11.30am in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Inter Milan	38	52	84
3	Napoli	38	43	79
4	Juventus	38	20	70

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 74.3%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 9.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.68%) and 0-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Napoli
9.85% ( -0.1)	15.84% ( -0.04)	74.3% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 49.83% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.19% (

-0.12)

36.8% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.02% (

-0.13)

58.97% (

0.13)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.43% (

-0.27)

45.57% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.62% (

-0.21)

81.38% (

0.21)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.55% (

8.44% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.68% (

29.32% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Spezia 9.85%

Napoli 74.3%

Draw 15.84%

Spezia	Draw	Napoli
1-0 @ 3.03% ( -0) 2-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.75% Total : 9.85%	1-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.89% Total : 15.84%	0-2 @ 11.75% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 9.68% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.24% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 7.61% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 5.98% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 4.7% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 2.96% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 2.33% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.85% ( -0.02) 0-6 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) 1-6 @ 0.96% ( -0) 2-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 74.3%